stanfordmlgroup/ngboost

Natural Gradient Boosting for Probabilistic Prediction

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This library helps data scientists and machine learning engineers create models that predict not just a single outcome, but a full range of possible outcomes and their likelihoods. You provide structured data with features and a target variable, and it outputs a model that offers a probability distribution for future predictions, rather than just a point estimate. This is useful for anyone needing to understand the uncertainty in their predictions.

1,841 stars. Used by 2 other packages. Actively maintained with 1 commit in the last 30 days. Available on PyPI.

Use this if you need to quantify the uncertainty of your predictions and understand the full probability distribution of potential outcomes, not just a single most likely value.

Not ideal if you only need a single best-guess prediction and are not concerned with the underlying uncertainty or probability distribution.

predictive-modeling uncertainty-quantification risk-assessment statistical-forecasting machine-learning-engineering
Maintenance 13 / 25
Adoption 12 / 25
Maturity 25 / 25
Community 22 / 25

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Stars

1,841

Forks

245

Language

Jupyter Notebook

License

Apache-2.0

Last pushed

Feb 25, 2026

Commits (30d)

1

Dependencies

7

Reverse dependents

2

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